If p is a success probability, the quantity p/(1 p) is called the odds. Odds are

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If p is a success probability, the quantity p/(1 − p) is called the odds. Odds are commonly estimated in medical research. The article “A Study of Twelve Southern California Communities with Differing Levels and Types of Air Pollution” (J. Peters, E. Avol, et al., The American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, 1999:760–767) reports an assessment of respiratory health of southern California children. Assume that 88 boys in a sample of 612 reported being diagnosed with bronchitis during the last 12 months.

a. Estimate the proportion p of boys who have been diagnosed with bronchitis, and find the uncertainty in the estimate.

b. Estimate the odds, and find the uncertainty in the estimate.

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