The general manager at Green Thumb decides to conduct extensive market research for the new product. At the end of the market research, the manager estimates demand to be normally distributed with a mean of μ = 100 and a standard deviation of σ = 15. How should Green Thumb alter its production plans in Exercise 1 as a result of the market research? How much increase in profit is it likely to observe? How does the improved forecast affect the demand lost by Green Thumb because of understocking? Use cost and price information from Exercise 1.

Data From Exercise 1

Green Thumb, a manufacturer of lawn care equipment, has introduced a new product. Each unit costs $250 to manufacture, and the introductory price is $300. At this price, the anticipated demand is normally distributed with a mean of μ = 100 and a standard deviation of σ = 40. Any unsold units at the end of the season are unlikely to be valuable and will be disposed of in a post-season sale for $50 each. It costs $20 to hold a unit in inventory for the entire season. How many units should Green Thumb manufacture for sale? What is the expected profit from this policy? On average, how many customers does Green Thumb expect to turn away because of stocking out?