Suppose you are a contestant on the television game show, Lets Make a Deal. You must choose

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Suppose you are a contestant on the television game show, Let’s Make a Deal. You must choose one of three closed doors, labeled A, B, and C, and you will receive whatever is behind the chosen door. Behind two of the doors is a goat, and behind the third is a new car. Like most people, you have no use for a goat, but the car would be very welcome. Suppose you choose Door A. Now the host opens Door B, revealing a goat, and offers to let you switch from Door A to Door C. Do you switch? Why or why not?
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Making Hard Decisions with decision tools

ISBN: 978-0538797573

3rd edition

Authors: Robert Clemen, Terence Reilly

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