Suppose you wanted to test your extrasensory perception (ESP) ability using an ordinary deck of 52 cards,
Question:
a. What is the probability that you guess the color correctly by chance?
b. Is the answer in part (a) based on the relative-frequency interpretation of probability, or is it a personal probability?
c. Suppose another friend has never tried the experiment but believes he has ESP and can guess correctly with probability .60. Is the value of .60 a relative-frequency probability or a personal probability? Explain.
d. Suppose another friend guessed the color of 1000 cards and got 600 correct. The friend claims she has ESP and has a .60 probability of guessing correctly. Is the value of .60 a relative-frequency probability or a personal probability? Explain.
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