The CPI measures the increase (or decrease) in the prices of goods and services relative to a

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The CPI measures the increase (or decrease) in the prices of goods and services relative to a base year. The CPI for the years 1990-2015 (using 1984 as a base period) is shown in the table below.
a. Graph the time series. Do you detect a long-term trend?
b. Calculate and plot the exponentially smoothed series for the CPI using a smoothing constant of w = .4. Use the exponentially smoothed values to forecast the CPI in 2015.
c. Use Holt's forecasting model with trend to forecast the CPI in 2015. Use smoothing constants w = .4 and v = .5.
Year CPI Year CPI 1990 1991 125.8 129.1 132.8 136.8 147.8 152.4 156.9 160.5 2003 2004 184.0 188.9 1992 1993 1994 1995 19
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Statistics For Business And Economics

ISBN: 9780134506593

13th Edition

Authors: James T. McClave, P. George Benson, Terry Sincich

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