The expert consensus indicated the project was doomed to failure. Were the experts right?
Team Statistics for Starting Pitchers

Now that Dr. Hanke felt he had successfully developed a model for forecasting ERA, he was ready to tackle WINS. However, the expert consensus indicated the project was doomed to failure. Comments found on Ron Shandler's BaseballHQ website indicated: "There's no way to project pitchers accurately from year to year" (Bill James);"Your most valuable commodity is a starting pitcher you can count on.

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WINS TM WINS RUNS ERRORS SAVES I rmas Jr.T 2 Arroyo,B 3 Batista. M 71 746 131 80 74 128 773 104 4 BeckettJ 86 820 66 70 768 102 70 768 102 93 771 95 822 06 5 Bedard. E 6 Benson, h 8 Bonderman,1 9 Bonser B 10 Buchholz, T 11 Buehrle, M 12 Burnett.A. 13 Bush, D 14 Byrd, P 15 Cabrera, D 16 Cain, M 17 Capuano, C 82 733 90 868 80 87 999 75 730 117 78 870 118 70 768 102 76 46 91 75 730 117 83 781 89 766 12 67 691 104 24 Carpenter, C 19 Carrasco, H 20 Chacon,S 119 Tomko, B 120 Trachsel. S 121 Vargas, C 122 VazquezJ 123 Verlander, J 124 Wakefield. T 125 Wang, C 88 820 ES 97 834 104 76 733 104 90 868 2 106 86 820 97 930104 78 756 88 89 766 124 76 773 104 78 870 18 88 731 129 Webb B 130 Westbrook,J 5 131 Williams, w 132 Willis D 133 Woods, J 134 Wright.J 135 Wright, J 136 Young, C 137 Zambrano,C 16 138 Zito, B 758 756 126 88 78 97 930 104 88 7 9 66 716 106 93 771