The fluctuation of gold prices is a reflection of the strength or weakness of the U.S. dollar.

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The fluctuation of gold prices is a reflection of the strength or weakness of the U.S. dollar. The table below shows monthly gold prices from January 2009 to December 2015.

a. Use exponential smoothing with w = .5 to calculate monthly smoothed values from 2009 to 2014. Then forecast the monthly gold prices for 2015.

b. Calculate 12 one-step-ahead forecasts for 2015 by updating the exponentially smoothed values with each month's actual value and then forecasting the next month's value.

c. Repeat parts a-b using Holt's method with w = .5 and v = .5.

Month 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul 858.7 943.2 924.3 890.2 928.6 1,118.0 1,095.4 1,113
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Statistics For Business And Economics

ISBN: 9780134506593

13th Edition

Authors: James T. McClave, P. George Benson, Terry Sincich

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