Question: Using MAD, determine whether the forecast in Problem 5-15 or the forecast in the section concerning Wallace Garden Supply is more accurate. In Problem 5-15,
Using MAD, determine whether the forecast in Problem 5-15 or the forecast in the section concerning Wallace Garden Supply is more accurate.
In Problem 5-15, Develop a four-month moving average forecast for Wallace Garden Supply and compute the MAD. A three-month moving average forecast was developed in the section on moving averages in Table5.2.
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MONTH January February March April May June July August September October ACTUAL SHED SALES 1o 12 13 16 19 23 26 30 28 18 16 14 MONITH MOVING AVERAGE (101213)/3 11.67 (12 + 13 + 16)/3 13.67 (13 16 19)/3 16.00 (16 19 23)/3 19.33 (19 + 23 26)/3 22.67 (23 + 26 30)/3 26.33 (26 30+ 28)/3-28.00 (30 + 28 + 18)/3 2533 (28 + 18 + 16)/3 = 20.67 (18 16 14)/3 16.00 January
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