Question: Assume that you are the production manager for Fast Current Kayaks of Washington State. One of the products that you make and sell is the
Assume that you are the production manager for Fast Current Kayaks of Washington State. One of the products that you make and sell is the Fast Current sea touring kayak paddle ). You are responsible for ensuring that there is enough production capacity to meet demands (given the very high markup on the paddles).
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a. Given the data shown above, beginning in Quarter 1 of year 2, use a moving average based on four quarters to predict the demand in each quarter.
b. Using the same data, forecast demand using exponential smoothing. You are given an initial forecast for year 1, quarter 1 of 17. When generating your forecasts, assume that the smoothing coefficient is 0.10.
c. Which of the forecasting procedures performed the best? Why? Hint: Plot the demand data to better understand what is going on in the data.
Year Quarter Demand Year Quarter Demand Year 1 18 19 18 17 19Year 6Q1 Year 5 42 38 59 58 60 61 62 62 64 65 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 ear 2 Q221 Q2 18 Q4 19 Q1 20 Year7Q1 Q2 24 Q3 Q4 32 Q1 30 Year 8 Q2 31 Q3 Q4 40 ear Q2 Q3 Q4 28 68 69 68 67 68 ear Q2 Q3 Q4 34
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