Question: Problem 15, part f. in Chapter 3 asks you to construct a five year financial projection for Aquatic Supplies beginning in 2015. The five year
| Problem 15, part f. in Chapter 3 asks you to construct a five year financial projection for Aquatic Supplies beginning in 2015. | |||||||
| The five year projection appears below. | |||||||
| a. Calculate Aquatic Supplies's sustainable and actual growth rates in these years. | |||||||
| b. What do these numbers suggest to you? | |||||||
| Aquatic Supplies Co. Five Year Projected Income Statements and Balance Sheets | |||||||
| Income Statement (in $ millions) | |||||||
| Pro Forma Forecasts 2015 - 2019 | |||||||
| 2014 | Assumptions | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | |
| Sales | $ 582.762 | 12% | 652.693 | 731.017 | 818.739 | 916.987 | 1,027.026 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | 240.828 | 39% | 254.550 | 285.096 | 319.308 | 357.625 | 400.540 |
| Gross Profit | 341.934 | 398.143 | 445.920 | 499.431 | 559.362 | 626.486 | |
| Selling, General, & Administrative Exp. | 257.507 | 49% | 319.820 | 358.198 | 401.182 | 449.324 | 503.243 |
| Operating Income Before Deprec. | 84.427 | 78.323 | 87.722 | 98.249 | 110.038 | 123.243 | |
| Depreciation, Depletion, & Amortization | 25.221 | 30% | 29.371 | 32.896 | 36.843 | 41.264 | 46.216 |
| Operating Profit | 59.206 | 48.952 | 54.826 | 61.405 | 68.774 | 77.027 | |
| Interest Expense | 16.430 | initially constant | 18.636 | 18.801 | 18.841 | 18.733 | 18.446 |
| Pretax Income | 42.776 | 30.316 | 36.025 | 42.564 | 50.041 | 58.581 | |
| Total Income Taxes | 14.971 | 35% | 10.611 | 12.609 | 14.897 | 17.514 | 20.503 |
| Net income | $ 27.805 | $ 19.705 | $ 23.416 | $ 27.667 | $ 32.527 | $ 38.078 | |
| Balance Sheet (in $ millions) | |||||||
| ASSETS | |||||||
| Cash & Equivalents | $ 7.152 | 2% | 13.054 | 14.620 | 16.375 | 18.340 | 20.541 |
| Account Receivable | 70.538 | 13% | 84.850 | 95.032 | 106.436 | 119.208 | 133.513 |
| Inventories | 39.033 | 5% | 32.635 | 36.551 | 40.937 | 45.849 | 51.351 |
| Prepaid Expenses | 9.339 | no change | 9.339 | 9.339 | 9.339 | 9.339 | 9.339 |
| Other Current Assets | 27.076 | 6% | 39.162 | 43.861 | 49.124 | 55.019 | 61.622 |
| Total Current Assets | 153.138 | 179.039 | 199.403 | 222.211 | 247.756 | 276.366 | |
| Net Plant, Property & Equipment | 81.648 | 15% | 97.904 | 109.652 | 122.811 | 137.548 | 154.054 |
| Intangibles | 9.415 | no change | 9.415 | 9.415 | 9.415 | 9.415 | 9.415 |
| Other Assets | 24.642 | 5% | 32.635 | 36.551 | 40.937 | 45.849 | 51.351 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | $ 268.843 | 318.993 | 355.022 | 395.374 | 440.568 | 491.186 | |
| LIABILITIES | |||||||
| Accounts Payable | $ 36.951 | 6% | 39.162 | 43.861 | 49.124 | 55.019 | 61.622 |
| Accrued Expenses | 31.206 | 5% | 32.635 | 36.551 | 40.937 | 45.849 | 51.351 |
| Other Current Liabilities | 3.663 | no change | 3.663 | 3.663 | 3.663 | 3.663 | 3.663 |
| Total Current Liabilities | 71.820 | 75.459 | 84.075 | 93.724 | 104.532 | 116.636 | |
| Long Term Debt | 157.720 | initially constant | 186.363 | 188.010 | 188.414 | 187.327 | 184.462 |
| Accrued wages | 21.418 | 3% | 19.581 | 21.930 | 24.562 | 27.510 | 30.811 |
| Total Liabilities | 250.958 | 281.403 | 294.015 | 306.701 | 319.368 | 331.908 | |
| EQUITY | |||||||
| Common Stock | 1.702 | no change | 1.702 | 1.702 | 1.702 | 1.702 | 1.702 |
| Capital Surplus | 55.513 | no change | 55.513 | 55.513 | 55.513 | 55.513 | 55.513 |
| Retained Earnings | 118.729 | no dividends paid so all income is retained | 138.434 | 161.851 | 189.517 | 222.044 | 260.122 |
| Less: Treasury Stock | 158.059 | no change | 158.059 | 158.059 | 158.059 | 158.059 | 158.059 |
| TOTAL EQUITY | 17.885 | 37.590 | 61.007 | 88.673 | 121.200 | 159.278 | |
| TOTAL LIABILITIES & EQUITY | $ 268.843 | $318.993 | $355.022 | $395.374 | $440.568 | $ 491.186 | |
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