For the firm handling concessions in Exercise 6, find and interpret the break point of the decision

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For the firm handling concessions in Exercise 6, find and interpret the break point of the decision based on the weather probability. Discuss under what probabilistic conditions for weather the concession rm should sell cola or coffee.

Data from exercise 6

Consider a firm handling concessions for a sporting event. The firm's manager needs to know whether to stock up with coffee or cola and is formulating policies for specific weather predictions. A local agreement restricts the firm to selling only one type of beverage. The rm estimates a $1500 profit selling cola if the weather is cold and a $5000 profit selling cola if the weather is warm. The firm also estimates a $4000 profit selling coffee if it is cold and a $1000 profit selling coffee if the weather is warm. The weather forecast says that there is a 30% of a cold front; otherwise, the weather will be warm. Build a decision tree to assist with the decision. What should the firm handling concessions do?

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A First Course In Mathematical Modeling

ISBN: 9781285050904

5th Edition

Authors: Frank R. Giordano, William P. Fox, Steven B. Horton

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