Using basic probability rules, we can calculate that the probability that a player of this skill level is successful on the next 5 free throw attempts is P1SSSSS2 5 a 1

2 b a1 2

b a1 2

b a1 2

b a1 2

b 5 a 1

2 b

5 5 .031 which is relatively small. At first, this value might seem inconsistent with your answer in Step 5, but the estimated probability from Step 5 and the computed probability of .031 are really considering different situations. Explain why it is plausible that both probabilities are correct.