Question: Multiple-choice tests. Here is a simple probability model for multiple-choice tests. Suppose that each student has probability p of correctly answering a question chosen at
Multiple-choice tests. Here is a simple probability model for multiple-choice tests. Suppose that each student has probability p of correctly answering a question chosen at random from a universe of possible questions. (A strong student has a higher p than a weak student.) The correctness of an answer to a question is independent of the correctness of answers to other questions. Jodi is a good student for whom p = 0.85.
(a) Use the Normal approximation to find the probability that Jodi scores 80% or lower on a 100-question test.
(b) If the test contains 250 questions, what is the probability that Jodi will score 80% or lower?
(c) How many questions must the test contain in order to reduce the standard deviation of Jodi’s proportion of correct answers to half its value for a 100-item test?
(d) Laura is a weaker student for whom p = 0.75.
Does the answer you gave in
(c) for the standard deviation of Jodi’s score apply to Laura’s standard deviation also?
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