Figure 18.3 gives a decision tree presented in the book Production/Operations Management by William J. Stevenson. Use
Question:
a. Find the expected monetary value for each of the alternatives (subcontract, expand, and build).
b. Determine the alternative that should be selected in order to maximize the expected monetary value.
Transcribed Image Text:
Declslon Tree for Exercise 18.13 FIGURE 18.3 $1.0 -$1.3 Do nothing Medium demand (5) Large demand (.1) Small demand (4) Expand -$1.3 Do nothing Expand -$1.5 $1.6 Build $1.8 -$0.7 Do nothing Other use #1 $1.5 Small demand (4) Medium demand (.5) Other use 2 $1.0 Expand -$1.6 Large demand (.1) $1.6 Do nothing Subcontract $1.5 Build $1.7 -$0.9 Do nothing Other use #1 Small demand (.4) Medium demand (5) $1.4 Other use 2 -$1.0 $1.0 Do nothing Large demand (1) Other use #1 $1.1 Other use 2 -$0.9 $2.4 peaudogng Buld
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Related Book For
Business Statistics In Practice Using Data Modeling And Analytics
ISBN: 9781259549465
8th Edition
Authors: Bruce L Bowerman, Richard T O'Connell, Emilly S. Murphree
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