Question: 11.7 A partial adjustment model is yt * 0 1xt et yt yt1 (yt * yt1) at ,

11.7 A partial adjustment model is yt *  0  1xt  et yt  yt1  (yt *  yt1)  at , where yt * is the desired or optimal level of y, and yt is the actual (observed) level. For example, yt * is the desired growth in firm inventories, and xt is growth in firm sales. The parameter 1 measures the effect of xt on yt *. The second equation describes how the actual y adjusts depending on the relationship between the desired y in time t and the actual y in time t  1. The parameter  measures the speed of adjustment and satisfies 0    1. (i) Plug the first equation for yt * into the second equation and show that we can write yt  0  1yt1  2xt  ut . In particular, find the j in terms of the j and  and find ut in terms of et and at . Therefore, the partial adjustment model leads to a model with a lagged dependent variable and a contemporaneous x. (ii) If E(et xt ,yt1,xt1,…)  E(at xt ,yt1,xt1,…)  0 and all series are weakly dependent, how would you estimate the j ? (iii) If ˆ 1  .7 and ˆ 2  .2, what are the estimates of 1 and ?

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