Question: 11.7 A partial adjustment model is yt * 0 1xt et yt yt1 (yt * yt1) at ,
11.7 A partial adjustment model is yt * 0 1xt et yt yt1 (yt * yt1) at , where yt * is the desired or optimal level of y, and yt is the actual (observed) level. For example, yt * is the desired growth in firm inventories, and xt is growth in firm sales. The parameter 1 measures the effect of xt on yt *. The second equation describes how the actual y adjusts depending on the relationship between the desired y in time t and the actual y in time t 1. The parameter measures the speed of adjustment and satisfies 0 1. (i) Plug the first equation for yt * into the second equation and show that we can write yt 0 1yt1 2xt ut . In particular, find the j in terms of the j and and find ut in terms of et and at . Therefore, the partial adjustment model leads to a model with a lagged dependent variable and a contemporaneous x. (ii) If E(et xt ,yt1,xt1,…) E(at xt ,yt1,xt1,…) 0 and all series are weakly dependent, how would you estimate the j ? (iii) If ˆ 1 .7 and ˆ 2 .2, what are the estimates of 1 and ?
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