Consider the following model: Y t = 1 + 2 X t + 3

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Consider the following model:

Yt = β1 + β2Xt + β3Xt−1 + β4Xt−2 + β5Xt−3 + β6Xt−4 + ut

where Y = consumption, X = income, and t = time. The preceding model postulates that consumption expenditure at time t is a function not only of income at time t but also of income through previous periods. Thus, consumption expenditure in the first quarter of 2000 is a function of income in that quarter and the four quarters of 1999. Such models are called distributed lag models, and we shall discuss them in a later chapter.
a. Would you expect multicollinearity in such models and why?
b. If collinearity is expected, how would you resolve the problem?

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Basic Econometrics

ISBN: 978-0073375779

5th edition

Authors: Damodar N. Gujrati, Dawn C. Porter

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