Listed below are the numbers of Florida manatee deaths resulting from encounters with watercraft for each year beginning with 1980 (based on data from Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation). Is the best model much better than all of the others? Find the projected number of such deaths for 2006. The actual number of deaths in 2006 was 92. How does the actual number of manatee deaths compare to the projected number of deaths?

16 24 20 15 34 33 33 39 43 50 47 53 38 35 49 42 60 54 67 82 78 81 95 73 69 80

Construct a scatterplot and identify the mathematical model that best fits the given data. Assume that the model is to be used only for the scope of the given data, and consider only linear, quadratic, logarithmic, exponential, and power models.