Question: C5 Use INTQRT.RAW for this exercise. (i) In Example 18.7, we estimated an error correction model for the holding yield on six-month T-bills, where one
C5 Use INTQRT.RAW for this exercise. (i) In Example 18.7, we estimated an error correction model for the holding yield on six-month T-bills, where one lag of the holding yield on three-month T-bills is the explanatory variable. We assumed that the cointegration parameter was one in the equation hy6t hy3t1 ut . Now, add the lead change, hy3t , the contemporaneous change, hy3t1, and the lagged change, hy3t2, of hy3t1. That is, estimate the equation hy6t hy3t1 0hy3t 1hy3t1 1hy3t2 et and report the results in equation form. Test H0: 1 against a two-sided alternative. Assume that the lead and lag are sufficient so that {hy3t1} is strictly exogenous in this equation and do not worry about serial correlation. (ii) To the error correction model in (18.39), add hy3t2 and (hy6t2 hy3t3). Are these terms jointly significant? What do you conclude about the appropriate error correction model?
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