Go to the St. Louis Federal Reserve FRED database, and find data on recession dating (USREC), consumer

Question:

Go to the St. Louis Federal Reserve FRED database, and find data on recession dating (USREC), consumer sentiment (UMCSENT), industrial production (INDPRO), and real retail and food service sales (RRSFS).

a) Using the recession dating series (USREC), when did the most recent recession begin and end?

b) Using the consumer sentiment index (UMCSENT), calculate the average of the index during the recessionary period, and also the average of the index from the month after the end of the recession to the most recent data available. Is consumer sentiment procyclical, countercyclical, or acyclical?

c) For industrial production (INDPRO), calculate the percentage change in the index during the recessionary period, and also the percentage change in the index from the month after the end of the recession to the most recent data available. Is industrial production procyclical, countercyclical, or acyclical?

d) For real retail and food sales (RRSFS), calculate the percentage change for the data during the recessionary period, and also the percentage change for the data from the month after the end of the recession to the most recent data available.

Is real retail and food sales procyclical, countercyclical, or acyclical?

e) Classify (UMCSENT), (INDPRO), and (RRSFS) as leading, coincident, or lagging variables based on the entire data series.

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