In the below path convergence example, if the odds of completing activities 1, 2, and 3 on time are 50 percent, 50 percent, and 50 percent, what are the chances of starting activity 4 on day 6?

a. 10 percent

b. 13 percent

c. 40 percent

d. 50 percent

Activity 1 5 days Start Activity 2 5 days Activity 3 5 days Activity 4