Returning to the data from Problem 17.6, according to the seasonal naive method, what is the forecast

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Returning to the data from Problem 17.6, according to the seasonal naive method, what is the forecast for Q1-19?

Problem 17.6

The table below shows the most recent observations of quarterly wine production (in pounds) from a California winery.

a) According to the naive method, what is the forecast for Q4-18?
b) According to the naive method, what is the forecast for Q1-19?
c) How good do you think the Q1-19 forecast in part (b) will be? Explain.

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