A paint company has three sources for buying bright red pigment for their paints: Vietnam, Taiwan, or
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Question:
A paint company has three sources for buying bright red pigment for their paints: Vietnam, Taiwan, or Thailand. Unfortunately, the pigment is made from a bush whose annual growth is heavily dependent upon the amount of rainfall during the growing season. The tables below show probabilities and prices for wet, dry and normal growing seasons:
Probabilities
| Wet | Dry | Normal |
Vietnam | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
Taiwan | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
Thailand | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Wet | Dry | Normal |
Vietnam | 0.95 | 1.10 | 1.00 |
Taiwan | 0.85 | 1.20 | 0.98 |
Thailand | 0.90 | 1.15 | 1.05 |
What is the expected value (price) associated with the selected firm?
Related Book For
Managerial Decision Modeling with Spreadsheets
ISBN: 978-0136115830
3rd edition
Authors: Nagraj Balakrishnan, Barry Render, Jr. Ralph M. Stair
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