=0.05 unless otherwise specified. For each problem please do the following in addition to anything the individual

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Question:

α=0.05 unless otherwise specified.
For each problem please do the following in addition to anything the individual problem asks:
Observe and describe the basic nature of the series in question
Fit an appropriate model for the series
Determine adequacy of model to fit data and assess validity of selected model
Forecast response for requested time interval(s)
Daily Demand.XLS: Use the data provided to create an acceptable model to forecast the target(total orders).

Week of the month (first week,	Day of the week (Monday to Frid	Non-urgent order	Urgent order	Order type A	Order type B	Order type C	Fiscal sector orders	Orders from the traffic control	Banking orders (1)	Banking orders (2)	Banking orders (3)	Target (Total orders)
1	4	316.307	223.27	61.543	175.586	302.448	0	65556	44914	188411	14793	539.577
1	5	128.633	96.042	38.058	56.037	130.58	0	40419	21399	89461	7679	224.675
1	6	43.651	84.375	21.826	25.125	82.461	1.386	11992	3452	21305	14947	129.412
2	2	171.297	127.667	41.542	113.294	162.284	18.156	49971	33703	69054	18423	317.12
2	3	90.532	113.526	37.679	56.618	116.22	6.459	48534	19646	16411	20257	210.517
2	4	110.925	96.36	30.792	50.704	125.868	79	52042	8773	47522	24966	207.364
2	5	144.124	118.919	43.304	66.371	153.368	0	46573	33597	48269	20973	263.043
2	6	119.379	113.87	38.584	85.961	124.413	15.709	35033	26278	56665	18502	248.958
3	2	218.856	124.381	33.973	148.274	162.044	1.054	66612	19461	103376	10458	344.291
3	3	146.518	101.045	36.399	43.306	168.723	865	58224	7742	82395	11948	248.428
3	4	178.433	102.793	45.706	111.036	124.678	194	47046	17299	108719	15560	281.42
3	5	145.865	91.18	43.851	66.277	133.44	6.523	66910	17768	36693	29046	243.568
3	6	170.566	114.412	43.339	136.434	128.405	23.2	32529	34002	78153	31949	308.178
4	2	220.343	141.406	46.241	120.865	196.296	1.653	34878	32905	117137	29188	363.402
4	3	193.768	141.854	56.519	136.709	143.644	1.25	57858	23956	101048	30134	336.872
4	4	122.736	124.256	56.167	78.101	112.724	0	52321	10046	62799	24233	246.992
4	5	144.051	158.408	51.66	92.272	164.948	6.421	47167	6440	91784	15973	308.88
4	6	105.415	108.688	47.717	71.474	113.935	19.023	42737	26020	27873	17600	233.126
5	2	240.66	163.72	59.135	157.681	187.564	0	39273	32917	155617	9203	404.38
1	3	131.067	166.649	90.476	80.509	127.575	844	60543	19141	78378	73839	298.56
1	4	130.129	98.927	42.904	43.962	142.383	193	54760	9163	29874	46992	229.249
1	5	123.286	103.551	47.331	72.444	116.529	9.467	48732	21196	47793	47574	236.304
1	6	190.816	87.629	32.077	127.358	137.739	18.729	46368	36798	92701	31098	297.174
2	2	266.741	141.437	58.721	139.034	211.646	1.223	58081	43333	135314	29716	409.401
2	3	123.143	106.083	36.017	75.813	119.205	1.809	45340	22109	55584	29803	231.035
2	4	148.139	85.31	35.576	79.997	123.253	5.377	59686	14188	67617	32319	238.826
2	5	118.552	100.417	54.401	75.613	105.584	16.629	40423	24682	47563	35314	235.598
2	6	146.959	95.153	37.656	59.907	144.549	0	50908	45733	43930	28998	242.112
3	2	299.77	133.375	57.81	236.248	196.732	57.645	71772	57756	159373	29160	490.79
3	3	151.341	131.788	43.359	89.382	156.916	6.528	53573	42638	62732	32386	289.657
3	4	206.206	92.16	45.555	148.718	104.186	93	49110	36904	126632	33237	298.459
3	5	170.868	131.463	45.55	120.548	157.505	21.272	42534	79556	50433	36483	323.603
4	3	435.304	181.149	67.884	267.342	281.227	0	64867	210508	177229	30514	616.453
4	4	235.106	110.874	70.376	154.242	121.417	55	23257	163452	63699	33805	346.035
4	5	168.179	125.119	71.068	100.544	136.033	14.347	28072	95989	50763	55445	307.645
4	6	172.783	77.371	64.137	109.062	80.648	3.693	46321	66498	61593	31625	253.847
5	2	381.768	140.041	118.178	260.632	152.134	9.135	34236	194216	136035	47601	530.944
5	3	221.438	111.392	51.199	124.66	157.5	529	39964	136119	66745	31031	333.359
5	4	193.957	111.859	47.002	99.892	159.462	540	59179	94460	54772	34616	306.356
1	6	275.076	121.697	109.888	131.165	175.777	20.057	37906	138536	85378	14020	416.83
2	2	252.298	150.708	77.388	154.863	182.936	12.181	32133	69093	169088	12516	415.187
2	3	165.472	102.53	46.295	96.87	124.837	0	48458	43112	72840	11304	268.002
2	4	126.03	108.055	53.366	69.15	111.987	418	42201	13736	70191	16710	234.503
2	5	112.246	106.641	47.399	77.61	109.715	15.837	35316	25876	38646	13989	234.724
2	6	123.302	94.315	48.081	72.826	109.157	12.447	43284	30138	52112	12632	230.064
3	2	187.81	167.455	59.042	130.098	168.254	2.129	37817	36445	103567	10443	357.394
3	3	119.863	139.383	44.809	99.072	115.365	0	54584	17242	59231	12543	259.246
3	4	127.805	114.813	39.025	110.74	94.47	1.617	33366	21103	84558	16683	244.235
3	5	120.629	112.703	39.6	240.922	122.085	169.275	37387	20246	63778	13886	402.607
3	6	130.465	105.273	57.467	88.462	109.132	19.323	27200	41713	59513	12260	255.061
4	2	222.282	120.324	41.418	135.189	165.999	0	39446	29290	154144	10811	342.606
4	3	150.257	116.959	34.193	115.536	118.911	1.424	51346	19782	89704	12182	268.64
4	4	96.494	87.294	32.653	81.576	74.372	4.813	34631	22420	49644	15390	188.601
4	5	89.526	99.756	51.985	51.93	98.107	12.74	31850	32150	21573	13807	202.022
4	6	134.425	79.084	36.748	71.353	105.408	0	33970	28701	65199	11023	213.509
5	2	158.716	158.133	59.131	92.639	165.079	0	32027	33282	128269	9287	316.849
5	3	150.784	133.069	54.224	115.746	116.442	2.559	51235	34421	87708	11354	286.412
5	4	193.534	109.639	58.378	142.382	102.687	274	28364	88404	91367	15003	303.447
5	5	196.555	108.395	76.763	96.478	131.709	0	37011	109931	50112	12957	304.95
5	6	192.116	121.106	107.568	121.152	103.18	18.678	27328	108072	56015	10690	331.9