0 05 unless otherwise specified Observe and describe the basic nature of the series in question Fit an appropriate model for the series Determine adequacy of model to fit data and assess validity of selected model Forecast response for requested time interval(s) Find a model to estimate the slowdown to traffic Hour (Coded) Immobilized bus Broken Truck Vehicle excess Accident victim Running over Fire vehicles Occurrence involving freight Incident involving dangerous fr Lack of electricity Fire Point of flooding Manifestations Defect in the network of trolle Tree on the road Semaphore off Intermittent Semaphore Slowness in traffic ( ) 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 10 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 60 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 70 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 10 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 90 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 30 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 20 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 60 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 40 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 20 12 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 70 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 80 14 2 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 90 15 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 30 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 90 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 70 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 10 21 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 50 22 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 40 23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 90 24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 20 25 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 11 80 26 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 40 27 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 40 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 4 90 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 30 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 50 5 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 30 6 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 50 7 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 7 90 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 70 9 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 8 30 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 50 11 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 50 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 40 13 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 70 14 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 80 15 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 10 16 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 30 17 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 30 18 1 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 8 40 19 0 4 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 30 20 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 10 22 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 10 23 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 70 24 0 3 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 30 25 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 80 26 1 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 60 27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11

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Question: =0.05 unless otherwise specified. Observe and describe the basic nature of the series in question Fit an appropriate model for the series Determine adequacy of

=0.05 unless otherwise specified. Observe and describe the basic nature of the series in question Fit an appropriate model for the series Determine adequacy of model to fit data and assess validity of selected model Forecast response for requested time interval(s)

Find a model to estimate the % slowdown to traffic.

Hour (Coded)	Immobilized bus	Broken Truck	Vehicle excess	Accident victim	Running over	Fire vehicles	Occurrence involving freight	Incident involving dangerous fr	Lack of electricity	Fire	Point of flooding	Manifestations	Defect in the network of trolle	Tree on the road	Semaphore off	Intermittent Semaphore	Slowness in traffic (%)
1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4.10
2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.60
3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.70
4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9.20
5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11.10
6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10.90
7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.30
8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.20
9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.60
10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.40
11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.20
12	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4.70
13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4.80
14	2	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4.90
15	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.10
16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.30
17	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.90
18	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.10
19	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.70
20	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.10
21	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9.50
22	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9.40
23	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9.90
24	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11.20
25	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	11.80
26	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11.40
27	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.40
1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	4.90
2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.30
3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8
4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9.50
5	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10.30
6	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9.50
7	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.90
8	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.70
9	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	8.30
10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.50
11	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.50
12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.40
13	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.70
14	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.80
15	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.10
16	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.30
17	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.30
18	1	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	8.40
19	0	4	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9.30
20	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11
21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	12.10
22	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13.10
23	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13.70
24	0	3	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	15.30
25	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	16.80
26	1	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	15.60
27	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11

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