Question: 1- (30%) Consider the following time series data. Week 1 3 4 5 Value 18 13 16 11 17 14 Construct a time series plot.

1- (30%) Consider the following time series data.

1- (30%) Consider the following time series data. Week 1 3 4 5 Value 18 13 16 11 17 14 Construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data? b. Develop a three-week moving average for this time series. Compute MSE and a fore- cast for week c. Use a = 0.2 to compute the exponential smoothing values for the time series. Com- pute MSE and forecast for week 7. d. Compare the three-week moving average forecast with the exponential smoothing forecast using a - OnWhich appears to provide the better forecast based on MSE? Explain

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