$1(a)$ For the demand data $(in$ Thousands$)$ given $in$ the second column $of$ Table $1,$ use

exponential smoothing with trend $to$ forecast demand for the month $of$ July. Let $=0\mathrm{.}1$ and $=0\mathrm{.}5.$ Start the forecast from February and assume $F_2=A_2$ and $T_2=(A_2-A_1).$ Assume there $isno$ seasonality $in$ the demand.