Question: 1. Independence of random variables can be affected by changes of measure. To illustrate this point, consider the space of two coin tosses 02 =

 1. Independence of random variables can be affected by changes of

1. Independence of random variables can be affected by changes of measure. To illustrate this point, consider the space of two coin tosses 02 = {HH, HT, TH, TT} and let the stock price be given by So = 4, S,(H) = 8, S, (T) = 2 S2(HH) = 16, S,(HT) = S2(TH) = 4, S2(TT) = 1. Consider two probability measures given by P(TH) = P(TT) = 4' P(HH) = , P(HT) = P(HH) = P(HT) = . P(TH) = ,P(TT) = Define the random variable if So = 4 X = o if S2 # 4. a. List all the sets in o(X). b. List all the sets in o ($1). c. Show that (X) and o($1) are independent under the probability measure P. d. Show that o(X) and o(S1) are NOT independent under the proba- bility measure P e. Under P, we have P[S1 = 8] = ; and P[S1 = 2] = . Explain intuitively why, if you are told that X = 1, you would want to revise your estimate of the distribution of S1

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