#$1$: t is the time series demand pattern as shown below?

Date Price

$6/26/2012100\mathrm{.}28$

$6/27/2012109\mathrm{.}7$

$6/28/2012105\mathrm{.}89$

$6/29/2012109\mathrm{.}87$

$7/2/2012110\mathrm{.}01$

$7/3/2012113\mathrm{.}98$

$7/5/2012119\mathrm{.}32$

$7/6/2012121\mathrm{.}76$

$7/9/2012123\mathrm{.}78$

$7/10/2012129\mathrm{.}78$

$7/11/2012129\mathrm{.}74$

$7/12/2012135\mathrm{.}89$

$7/13/2012139\mathrm{.}87$

$7/16/2012149\mathrm{.}38$

$7/17/2012146\mathrm{.}23$

Horizontal

Trend$-$Downward

Seasonal

Trend and Seasonal

Cyclical

Trend$-$Upward

#$2$ Given is a historical time series for job services demand in the prior $6$ months.

Month Demand

$1698$

$2815$

$3716$

$4613$

$5657$

$6865$

Use the table below to answer all questions:

Month Demand Forecast

$1698$ F$1$

$2815$ F$2$

$3716$ F$3$

$4613$ F$4$

$5657$ F$5$

$6865$ F$6$

$7$ F$7$

If the demands forecast is Not Possible $($NP$)$ to generate for a particular month, then you must type in NP as your answer.

a$)$ The F$3$ by using Na$$ve forecasting method $-------------------?$

b$)$ The F$3$ by using $2$ months moving average $-------------------?($in $2$ decimal places$)$

c$)$ The F$4$ by using Na$$ve forecasting method $-------------------?$

d$)$ The F$4$ by using $4$ months moving average $=--------------------------------------------------?$ The F$6$ by using $3$ months moving average $=$ Question Blank $5$ of $6($in $2$ decimal places$)$

f$)$ The F$7$ by using $4$ months moving average $=-----------------------------------------------------?($in $2$ decimal places$)$

#$3$Given is a historical time series for job services demand in the prior $6$ months.

Month Demand

$1652$

$2681$

$3712$

$4777$

$5612$

$6865$

The Period $5$ forecast by using weighted moving average with weights of $0\mathrm{.}05,0\mathrm{.}25,0\mathrm{.}40,$ and $0\mathrm{.}30=-------------------?1$ of $1($in $2$ decimal places$)$

#$4.$ Given is a historical time series for job services demand in the prior $6$ months.

Month Demand

$1736$

$2701$

$3812$

$4735$

$5785$

$6736$

The Period $4$ forecast by using exponential smoothing with $0\mathrm{.}25$ alpha $=-------------------?($in $2$ decimal places$)$