Question: 1 Unobservable Weapons Programs with High Costs In class, we explored a strategic interaction where an opposing state must choose whether to initiate a preventive

1 Unobservable Weapons Programs with High Costs

1 Unobservable Weapons Programs with High Costs In class, we explored a strategic interaction where an opposing state must choose whether to initiate a preventive war against another state deciding whether to develop nuclear weapons. At that time, we assumed that the potential prolif- erator had low costs of nuclear weapons. This question explores what happens when the costs of weapons is high. Consider the following payoffs. The row player is the opponent, and the column player is the potential proliferator: Build ~Build Prevent .4, -.2 .5,.3 Peace .2,.3 .6,.4 What should we predict the outcome of this interaction will be? (Hint: What can the opponent infer about the potential proliferator's strategy?)

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