Question: 1. What is the EMV (Expected Monetary Value/ Expected Value) for Option 2 in the following decision table? States of nature Alternatives S 1 S
1. What is the EMV (Expected Monetary Value/ Expected Value) for Option 2 in the following decision table?
|
| States of nature | |
| Alternatives | S1 | S2 |
| p | .4 | .6 |
| Option 1 | 10,000 | 30,000 |
| Option 2 | 5,000 | 45,000 |
| Option 3 | -4,000 | 60,000 |
a. 5,000 b. 21,000 c. 25,000
d. 29,000 e. 45,000
2. An investor is considering 4 investments, A, B, C and leaving his money in the bank. The payoff from each investment is a function of the economic climate over the next 2 years. The economy can expand or decline. The following payoff matrix has been developed for the decision problem.
|
| Economy | |
| Investment | Decline | Expand |
| A | 0 | 85 |
| B | 25 | 65 |
| C | 40 | 30 |
| Bank | 10 | 10 |
What decision should be made according to the minimax regret decision criteria?
| a. | A |
| b. | B |
| c. | C |
| d. | Bank
|
3. Companies go global to
- Take advantage of favorable costs
- To keep abreast of trends and access new technologies
- To build reliable sources of supply
- All the above.
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