30. (5 points) Consider two countries, Hitech and Lotech. In Hitech new arrangements for making payments, such as credit cards and ATMs, have been enthusiastically adopted by the population, thereby reducing the proportion of income that is held as real money balances. Over this period no such changes occurred in Lotech. If the rate of money growth and the growth rate of real GDP were the same in Hitech and Lotech over this period, then how would the rate of inflation differ between the two countries? Carefully explain your answer.

31. (12 points) In April 1995, Michel Camdessus, managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), criticized U.S. economic policy for allowing the dollar exchange rate to fall too low. He recommended that the United States reduce its budget deficit in order to raise the exchange rate.

a.

Use the long-run model of a small open economy to illustrate graphically the impact of reducing the government's budget deficit on the exchange rate and the trade balance. Be sure to label: i. the axes; ii. the curves; iii. the initial equilibrium values; iv. the direction the curves shift; and v. the new long-run equilibrium values.

b.

Based on your graphical analysis, explain whether Mr. Camdessus's policy recommendation will work. Specifically, state what happens to the exchange rate and the trade balance as a result of the government budget deficit reduction.