Question: 5 . The basic consumption function model explains that consumption depends on disposable income. This analysis examines how macroeconomic factors - monthly real disposable personal

5. The basic consumption function model explains that consumption depends on disposable income. This analysis examines how macroeconomic factors-monthly real disposable personal income (DSPIC96), real personal consumption expenditures (PCEC96), and the 5-year Treasury interest rate (GS5)-influence consumption behavior. The dataset, covering U.S. data from 2002 to 2021, includes summary statistics (Table 1) and regression results (Table 2).
Table 2: Regression Results
Column (1) is simple linear model with dependent consumption, while column (2) use log consumption as dependent variable and log income as independent variable.
Tasks:
a. OLS Methodology: Briefly describe the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method. What are the decision variables and the objective function?
b. Estimated Equation: Using column (1) of Table 2, write the regression equation and interpret the coefficient of disposable personal income (DSPIC96). Is it statistically significant?
c. Log Transformation: Explain how the interpretation of the coefficient changes in column
(2), where both consumption (PCEC96) and income (DSPIC96) are logarithmically transformed.
d. Impact of GS5: In column (3), the 5-year Treasury interest rate (GS5) is added. Write the regression equation and explain how GS5 affects consumption.
e. Prediction: Using column (3)'s regression equation, predict the monthly consumption (PCEC96) when disposable income (DSPIC96) is $10,000 billion and GS5 is 2%.
f. Model Comparison: Compare the R-squared and adjusted R-squared values across the three models in Table 2. Which model best explains consumption variability? Justify your choice.
5 . The basic consumption function model explains

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