Question: A 2 - bit computer register has four states: 0 0 , 0 1 , 1 0 and 1 1 . The initially state is

A 2-bit computer register has four states: 00,01,10 and 11. The initially state is set to 00. At each step, the register works as follows:
With the probability 1/2, the register keeps unchanged;
With the probability 1/4, the two bits switch (e.g.,01->10);
With the probability 1/4, the second bit flips (e.g.,01->00 or 00->01)
After the change at each step, the value of the first bit is emitted.
Describe this problem as a Hidden Markov Model (HMM). Draw states and show transitions (labeled with probabilities) between the states. (You can draw a picture and upload as a PDF file)
What is the probability that the HMM is in a given state at step t ?
Suppose that, during the first three steps, we observe 0,0,1. Use the Viterbi algorithm to find the most probable path of state transitions through the HMM.

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