Question: A client explains that her firm's value must be affected by the choice of explicit forecast horizon. To build a model to test her claim,
A client explains that her firm's value must be affected by the choice of explicit forecast horizon. To build a model to test her claim, you are provided the information of her company as below: Note: all units in millions Income Statements Actual Projected Projected Projected Projected 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Sales 4,512.44 Sales growth rate 8.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% Costs of Goods Sold 2,797.71 COGS / Sales 62.0% 62.0% 62.0% 62.0% Sales, General and Administrative 902.49 SGA / Sales 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% Depreciation 225.62 Depreciation / Net PPE 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% Operating Profit 586.62 Interest Income 0.00 Interest Rate on Short-term Investment 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% Interest expense 105.73 Interest Rate on Debt 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% Earnings Before Taxes 480.89 Taxes 192.36 Tax Rate (Taxes/EBT) 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% Net Income 288.53 Dividends 104.89 Dividend growth rate 28.8% 41.7% 6.0% 6.0% Additions to retained earnings 183.64 Balance Sheets Actual 2021 Cash 45.12 Cash / Sales 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% Inventory 631.74 Inventory/ Sales 14.0% 14.0% 14.0% 14.0% Accounts receivable 1,128.11 Accts. Rec. / Sales 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% Total current assets 1,804.97 Net PPE 2,256.23 Net PPE / Sales 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% Total assets 4,061.20 Accounts payable 451.24 Accts. Pay./ Sales 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% Accrued expenses 225.62 Accruals / Sales 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% Short-term debt 381.71 Total current liabilities 1,058.57 Long-term debt 1,000.00 Long-term Debt / operating assets 22.8% 22.0% 22.0% 22.0% Total liabilities 2,058.57 Common stock (100 million shares) 600.00 Retained earnings 1,402.63 Total common equity 2,002.63 Total liabilities and equity 4,061.20 Required return on bond (yield) Par Value $ 1,000.00 Number of bonds outstanding, in thousands 1,000 Number of payments remaining 52 Periodic coupon (semi-annual) 40 Bond price now $ 1,100.00 Aggregate market value of bonds, $millions $ 1,100.00 Required return on stock Beta 1.2 Risk free rate 4.00% Market risk premium 6% Target weight debt 30% Target weight equity 70% Tax rate 40% Common stock (million shares) 100 Question: To evaluate your client's claim, design two valuation templates to show your client the valuation process. First assume a short horizon of three years. Then compare the results of this three-year horizon to a four-year forecasted horizon. You can use either FCF approach or EP approach to design the valuation templates.
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