A firm produces 40,000 pieces per month. The company has decided to assess the emerging demand for
Question:
A firm produces 40,000 pieces per month. The company has decided to assess the emerging demand for the items in the next five years. The company forecast reveals that there is 40% probability that the demand will be strong during the planning period and 60% probability that the demand will be moderate. The company can add new capacity to meet the demand or expand the existing factory or to go for subcontracting and if the company has a strong growth in demand, then the new capacity could be added a year later. The cost of adding new capacity is Rs. 7,50,000 and this cost goes up by 5% if it is deferred by a year. The cost of expanding in the existing factory itself is Rs.2,75,000. The cost of subcontracting is negligible. The revenue accruing for each option is as follow,
From new capacity: If the growth is strong, the revenue will be Rs.8,50,000 and in the case of a moderate growth, the revenue will be Rs. 4,00,000. These figures do not change even if the new unit comes into operation a year later.
From expansion of the existing capacity: If the growth is strong, the revenue will be Rs.5,50,000 and in the case of a moderate growth, the revenue will be Rs. 3,00,000.
From existing factory with subcontracting: If the growth is strong, the revenue will be Rs.3,50,000 and in the case of a moderate growth, the revenue will be Rs. 1,80,000.
Construct a decision tree to decide on the best capacity planning strategy. Report the same.
Cornerstones of Financial and Managerial Accounting
ISBN: 978-1111879044
2nd edition
Authors: Rich, Jeff Jones, Dan Heitger, Maryanne Mowen, Don Hansen