1. Try to prepare an original "time series or probability models" study using methodolo- gies we discussed in the lectures. You will collect your own data and make a research on that data. You can get use of the following guide: Guide (a) Start with a brief introduction stating your aim. (b) Present your data in detail. (c) Try to model the data. (d) Present your results and conclusion. To illustrate, you may do the following projects. A probit or logit analysis of any data (e.g. the credits in your bank or else) The relationship of stock markets of emerging economies (e.g. Brasil and Turkey.) Modelling other time series data related with Turkey Performing a simulation analysis (you can come to talk for details) Don't forget: You will be marked according to the originality of your study