Question: A manager is trying to decide whether to build a small, medium or large facility. Demand can be low, average, or high, with the estimated
A manager is trying to decide whether to build a small, medium or large facility. Demand can be low, average, or high, with the estimated probabilities being 0.25, 0.40, and 0.35, respectively.
A small facility is expected to earn an after-tax net present value of just $11,000 if demand is low. If demand is average, the small facility is expected to earn $15,000; it can be increased to medium size to earn a net present value of $30,000. If demand is high, the small facility is expected to earn $25,000 and can be expanded to medium size to earn $90,000 or to large size to earn $135,000.
A medium-sized facility is expected to lose an estimated $50,000 if demand is low and earn $90,000 if demand is average. If demand is high, the medium-sized facility is expected to earn a net present value of $150,000; it can be expanded to a large size for a net payoff of $155,000.
If a large facility is built and demand is high, earnings are expected to be $170,000.If demand is average for the large facility, the present value is expected to be
$80,000; if demand is low, the facility is expected to lose$80,000.
Which alternative is best according to each of the following decision criterion? (Enter your responses as whole numbers.)
| Criterion | Decision | Value of Return | |
| a. Maximin |
| $___thousand | |
| b. Maximax | Medium facility Large facility Small facility | $__thousand | |
| c. Minimax regret | Medium facility Small facility Large facility | $____thousand |
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