Question: a) What forecasting technique(s) would be best suited to forecast the sales? Why? b) Use data for years 2013-16 for building the forecast models Moving

 a) What forecasting technique(s) would be best suited to forecast the

a) What forecasting technique(s) would be best suited to forecast the sales? Why?

b) Use data for years 2013-16 for building the forecast models

Moving Average of 2 data points

Linear Regression

Decomposition technique

Single Exponential Smoothing

i. Generate forecasts using alpha = 0.2

Double Exponential Smoothing

i. Generate forecasts using alpha = 0.2, beta = 0.12

Triple Exponential Smoothing

i. Generate forecasts using alpha = 0.2, beta = 0.12 gamma = 0.33

Years Quarter Sales 2013 1 362 2 385 3 432 4 341 2014 1 382 2 409 3 498 4 388 2015 1 473 2 513 3 583 4 474 2016 1 544 2 582 3 681 4 557 2017 1 628 2 708 3 773 4 592 2018 1 626 2 725 3 854 4 661 Years Quarter Sales 2013 1 362 2 385 3 432 4 341 2014 1 382 2 409 3 498 4 388 2015 1 473 2 513 3 583 4 474 2016 1 544 2 582 3 681 4 557 2017 1 628 2 708 3 773 4 592 2018 1 626 2 725 3 854 4 661

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