At time t-1, a publicly listed firm owns some assets in place and a positive. NPV project
Question:
At time t-1, a publicly listed firm owns some assets in place and a positive. NPV project in which the firm could invest at time t=0. However, both the firm's managers and the outside investors do not know the precise values of the firm's assets in place and of the NPV of the project. The firm has no financial slack and must issue equity to new shareholders to invest in the project at time t=0. All the assumptions of Myers and Majluf's (1984) pecking order model hold. At time t=0, the firm's management receive private information about the values of the firm's assets-in-place and the NPV of the investment project. When deciding whether to issue equity and go ahead with the new project, the management act in the best interest of the passive, existing shareholders. The key financial information about the firm and its investment opportunity can be found in the table below.
Firm type | High quality | Low quality |
Probability of firm type | 0.40 | 0.60 |
Financial slack (in £ million) | 0 | 0 |
Assets-in-place (in £ million) | 650 | 200 |
Initial outlay of new project (in £ 95 million) | 95 | 95 |
NPV of new project (in £ million) | 30 | 16 |
(i) Derive a rational expectations equilibrium (REE) in which investors' rational beliefs at time t=0 are consistent with the management's actions at time t=0. Show your calculations in detail and comment on your results.
Foundations of Financial Management
ISBN: 978-1259024979
10th Canadian edition
Authors: Stanley Block, Geoffrey Hirt, Bartley Danielsen, Doug Short, Michael Perretta