Compute the expected time for each activity. Compute the variance for each activity. Compute the expected project duration. What is the probability of completing the project by day 117? What is the probability of completing the project by day 110? What is the probability of completing Negotiate with unions by day 95?

14. The Global Tea and Organic Juice companies have merged. The following information has been collected for the Consolidation Project. Activity Description Predecessor a opt b pess 1 Codify accounts None 16 19 2 File articles of unification None 30 30 3 Unify price and credit policy None 60 72 4 Unify personnel policies None 18 27 5 Unify data processing 1 Train accounting staff 1 7 Pilot run data processing 5 12 Calculate P&L and balance sheet 6.7 12 9 Transfer real property 2 27 10 Train salesforce 3 20 35 11 Negotiate with unions 4 12 Determine capital needs 8 13 Explain personnel policies 11 14 Secure line of credit 9,12 End 10.12.14 0 UN- 17 4 29 7 15 6 18 28 30 90 30 47 10 18 24 30 50 100 29 26 19 0 40 11 14 13 55 20 23 16 0 15