Question: Consider a project with A, D, G, and I are on the critical path. The variance and expected duration of each activity is given below:

Consider a project with A, D, G, and I are on the critical path. The variance and expected duration of each activity is given below:

Critical Path

Expected Duration

Variance

A

4

4

D

6

6

G

4

4

I

2

2

What is the probability of the project taking less than 21 days to complete? Hint: use the standard normal distribution table on page 64 of Service Project Management. (Four decimal points. For example, your answer may be 0.6534. Do not put anything other than numbers.)

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