Question: Consider the data below: Month Demand Jan 159 Feb 204 Mar 189 Apr 249 May 219 Jun 219 Jul 189 Aug 204 Sep 234 Oct

Consider the data below:

Month	Demand
Jan	159
Feb	204
Mar	189
Apr	249
May	219
Jun	219
Jul	189
Aug	204
Sep	234
Oct	204
Nov	159

The forecast for the month of November was higher than the actual demand and the forecast for the month of December (using exponential smoothing) is exactly equal to the actual demand of November. What smoothing constant can justify this behaviour?

a. 0

b. 0.25

c. 0.5

d. 1

e. Unsufficient information

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