Question: Consider the monthly demand shown in the table. Forecast the monthly demand for year 5 using Holts Model under an optimal alpha and beta. Evaluate
Consider the monthly demand shown in the table. Forecast the monthly demand for year 5 using Holts Model under an optimal alpha and beta. Evaluate MSE.
| Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | |
| Jan | 2500 | 6300 | 9200 | 14300 |
| Feb | 3500 | 7300 | 12200 | 13300 |
| Mar | 3500 | 6300 | 12200 | 13300 |
| Apr | 3500 | 8300 | 10200 | 12400 |
| May | 4500 | 8300 | 11200 | 15900 |
| Jun | 6500 | 9300 | 13200 | 16300 |
| Jul | 7500 | 9200 | 14200 | 19300 |
| Aug | 6500 | 11300 | 17200 | 23300 |
| Sep | 10500 | 15300 | 22200 | 25300 |
| Oct | 12500 | 15300 | 22200 | 25300 |
| Nov | 14500 | 19300 | 25200 | 29300 |
| Dec | 8500 | 13300 | 15200 | 21300 |
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