(Dataset: NES. Variables: who_2016, better_worse_past_econ, [aw=nesw.) what factors determine how people vote in presidential elections? Political...

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(Dataset: NES. Variables: who_2016, better_worse_past_econ, [aw=nesw.) what factors determine how people vote in presidential elections? Political scientists have investigated and debated this question for many years. A particularly powerful and elegant perspective emphasizes voters' retrospective evaluations. According to this view, for example, voters who think the country's economy has gotten better during the year preceding the election are likely to reward the candidate of the incumbent party. Voters who believe the economy has worsened, by contrast, are likely to punish the incumbent party by voting for the candidate of the party not currently in power. As political scientist V. O. Key once famously put it, the electorate plays the role of "rational god of vengeance and reward." 4 Does Key's idea help explain how people voted in the 2016 election? 4. V. O. Key, Politics, Parties, and Pressure Groups, 5th ed. (New York: Crowell, 1964), 568. Test this hypothesis: In a comparison of individuals, those who thought the economy had improved during the year preceding the 2016 election were more likely to vote for the candidate of the incumbent party, Hillary Clinton, than were individuals who thought the economy had not improved. Use these two variables from the NES dataset: Who_2016 (dependent variable), better_worse_past_econ (independent variable), and nesw (weight variable). Obtain a cross- tabulation of the relationship. Be sure to use the "col" option for column percentages. Record the percentages voting for Clinton and Trump in the table that follows. Did the economy get better/worse in the last year? (Dataset: NES. Variables: who_2016, better_worse_past_econ, [aw=nesw.) what factors determine how people vote in presidential elections? Political scientists have investigated and debated this question for many years. A particularly powerful and elegant perspective emphasizes voters' retrospective evaluations. According to this view, for example, voters who think the country's economy has gotten better during the year preceding the election are likely to reward the candidate of the incumbent party. Voters who believe the economy has worsened, by contrast, are likely to punish the incumbent party by voting for the candidate of the party not currently in power. As political scientist V. O. Key once famously put it, the electorate plays the role of "rational god of vengeance and reward." 4 Does Key's idea help explain how people voted in the 2016 election? 4. V. O. Key, Politics, Parties, and Pressure Groups, 5th ed. (New York: Crowell, 1964), 568. Test this hypothesis: In a comparison of individuals, those who thought the economy had improved during the year preceding the 2016 election were more likely to vote for the candidate of the incumbent party, Hillary Clinton, than were individuals who thought the economy had not improved. Use these two variables from the NES dataset: Who_2016 (dependent variable), better_worse_past_econ (independent variable), and nesw (weight variable). Obtain a cross- tabulation of the relationship. Be sure to use the "col" option for column percentages. Record the percentages voting for Clinton and Trump in the table that follows. Did the economy get better/worse in the last year?

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SOLUTION Heres the crosstabulation of the relationship between the economy and voting behavior in th... View the full answer