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Problem 9-06

You are given the three EPS estimates and the following estimates related to the market earnings multiple:

	Pessimistic		Consensus		Optimistic
EPS	$48.09		$66.33		$84.04
D/E	0.60		0.50		0.40
Nominal RFR	0.14		0.12		0.10
Risk premium	0.05		0.04		0.03
ROE	0.10		0.13		0.16

1. Based on the three EPS and P/E estimates, compute the high, low, and consensus intrinsic market value for the S&P Industrials Index in 2018. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to the nearest cent.

   High intrinsic market value: $

   Low intrinsic market value: $

   Consensus intrinsic market value: $

2. Assuming that the S&P Industrials Index at the beginning of the year was priced at 2,150, compute your estimated rate of return under the three scenarios from Part a. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to one decimal place. Use a minus sign to enter negative rates of return, if any.

   Rate of return (optimistic scenario): %

   Rate of return (pessimistic scenario): %

   Rate of return (consensus scenario): %

   Assuming your required rate of return is equal to the consensus, how would you weight the S&P Industrials Index in your global portfolio?

   One should -Select-underweightoverweightItem 7 the U.S. stocks in a global portfolio.