Question: Edwards Machine Tools needs to purchase a new machine. The basic model is slower but costs less, whereas the advanced model is faster but costs
Edwards Machine Tools needs to purchase a new machine. The basic model is slower but costs less, whereas the advanced model is faster but costs more. Profitability will depend on future demand. The following table presents an estimate of profits over the next three years.
| Demand Volume | |||
| Decision | Low | Medium | High |
| Basic model | $65,000 | $75,000 | $145,000 |
| Advanced model | $50,000 | $135,000 | $210,000 |
A forecasting study determines that he probabilities of demand volume are Low = 0.5, Medium = 0.3, and High = 0.2. Using the techniques on decision analysis, determine the expected value decision. Round your answers to the nearest dollar.
Expected profit for the basic model: $ ______
Expected profit for the advanced model: $ _______
The -Select Basic Model or Advanced Model should be chosen using expected value criterion.
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