Question: exponential smoothing model for forecasting sales is hat ( y ) t + 1 = y t + ( 1 - ) h a t
exponential smoothing model for forecasting sales is
hat
where
hat forecast sales for period
actual value sales for period
hat forecast sales for period
smoothing constant
Note: We are displaying rounded intermediate values for practical purposes. However, the calculations are made using the unrounded values.
Exponential Smoothing Model for
In using exponential smoothing models, one tries to choose the value of that provides the best forecasts.
the values in the table below with try different values of to see if you can get a smaller sum of squared forecast errors.
Use Excel Solver to find the value of a that minimizes the sum of squared forecast errors. Round your answers to three decimal places.
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