Final Project on Time Series models ARIMA, SARIMA, ARCH, GARCH

Instruction: You must do this project independently without having helps from you classmates. Submission of this project by copying from previous year$$s student work will earn F grade. In addition, violation of academic honesty will be reported for further academic punishment. No conversations among students are allowed. No extension of deadline. It will take me $7$ days to grade your project.

$1.$ This project involves time series models known as ARIMA, SARIMA, ARCH, GARCH.

$2.$ Find appropriate data $($one data or multiple data does not matter$)$ to fit each of these models.

$3.$ You have freedom to use only R or Python or a combination of them. No other software will be allowed.

$4.$ You have to write a paragraph for each of this model by providing details why we need this model?

$5.$ Provide Usefulness $($pros$)$ of each model.

$6.$ Limitation $($cons$)$ of each model.

$7.$ Mathematical formulation $($expression$)$ for each model.

$8.$ Make forecast for few time points for each of the model. Write comments about your prediction from the graph.

$9.$ At the end of one$-$page summary paragraph for each model, add graphs and output from the model fitting. Write explanations of finding from each model fitting.

$10.$ Finally, you will provide me only three files. A report written in word or pdf$,$ R or python script, and your data set $().$ Codes must be commented so that I can understand easily.