Question: Find AR( p ) to Minimize AIC/BIC Automatically R : auto.arima (diff(x), max.p = 10, max.q = 0, ic = bic ) Find the first
Find AR( p ) to Minimize AIC/BIC Automatically
R : auto.arima (diff(x), max.p = 10, max.q = 0, ic = bic )
Find the first local minimum Series: diff(x) (change in inflation rate) ARIMA(6,0,0) with zero mean
Coefficients:
ar1 ar2 ar3 ar4 ar5 ar6
-0.6057 -0.4554 -0.4558 -0.3345 -0.2496 -0.1481
s.e. 0.0454 0.0522 0.0544 0.0546 0.0526 0.0457
sigma^2 estimated as 8.699: log likelihood=-1225.67 AIC=2465.33 AICc =2465.56 BIC=2494.69
Question:
Optimization AR(P)?
What is the interpretation of the r code of the model above, and interpret AIC and BIC?
R:fitma=arima(diff(x), order = c(0,0,3))
Coefficients:
ma1 ma2 ma3 intercept
-0.633 -0.1027 -0.1082 -0.0002
s.e. 0.046 0.0514 0.0470 0.0209
sigma^2 estimated as 8.505: log likelihood=-1220.26
AIC=2450.52, AICc=2450.65 BIC=2471.5
Question:
Kindly interpret the meaning of the r code?
What is the meaning of c(1,0,1) OR C(0,0,3)
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