Question: For a product the demand data has been shown in the table below for the year. Compare the forecasts using a moving average forecasting method
For a product the demand data has been shown in the table below for the year. Compare the forecasts using a moving average forecasting method with a period of 5 months and an Exponential Smoothing Method with an of 1/3. For Exponential Smoothing use the midpoint of first 5-month range of the average as the initial forecast. (Updated Hint: the Exponential Smoothing Forecast therefore in March 2013 for April 2013 will be 4951). Which method is better? Why? The months and respective demands are given below
Jan - 4576
Feb - 5568
Mar - 3240
Apr - 5978
May - 5395
Jun - 4644
Jul - 5880
Aug - 6096
Sep - 5967
Oct - 5828
Nov - 5808
Dec - 6076
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